Oil Prices Expected to Hit $86 in Q3 Due to Increased Summer Fuel Demand

By Thea Felicity

Jun 10, 2024 10:37 AM EDT

Gasoline pumps stand at a Marathon gas station in Baltimore, Maryland on May 29, 2024. US energy giant ConocoPhillips announced on May 29 that it will acquire competitor Marathon Oil in an all-stock transaction valued at $22.5 billion, including $5.4 billion in debt, a major expansion despite pressure to move away from fossil fuels.
(Photo : JIM WATSON/AFP via Getty Images)

After experiencing a decline last week, CNBC reported that oil prices increased on Monday, June 10. This rise was driven by predictions from Goldman Sachs that there would be a substantial oil shortage due to a higher demand for fuel during the summer. 

As a result, crude oil futures experienced modest gains because analysts expect the increased need for transportation and cooling in the third quarter will lead to a supply deficit of 1.3 million barrels per day.

Goldman Sachs analysts expect Brent crude to rise to $86 per barrel in the third quarter, setting a price floor of $75 and a ceiling of $90 for the year. This projection comes despite last week's OPEC+ decision to increase production from October through September 2025, which initially led to a decline in oil prices.

READ MORE: Oil Prices Drop Below $80 After US Oil and Petroleum Reserve Reach Highest Level

Oil Prices Today

At the moment, Statista reveals that the current energy prices for West Texas Intermediate are $76.38 per barrel, Brent is $80.44 per barrel, RBOB Gasoline is $2.39 per gallon, and Natural Gas (July contract) costs $3.09 per thousand cubic feet, up 5.96% (year-to-date gain of 22.6%)

Although OPEC+ has decided to increase oil production, it still has the option to adjust this decision if necessary to maintain market stability. 

Investors have held the fewest long positions (bets that prices will rise) in oil futures since 2011, while short positions (bets that prices will fall) are near record highs. Analysts think, however, that this "pessimism" is unwarranted and expects oil inventories to decrease and demand to rise by 2 to 2.5 million barrels per day through August.

READ NEXT: Oil Market on Edge Following Second Ship Attack in Red Sea

© 2024 VCPOST, All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without permission.

Join the Conversation

Real Time Analytics