Russia's Surprising Economic Strength to Last Another 18 Months Despite Western Sanctions and Ukraine War, Think Tank Says

By Jace Dela Cruz

Apr 23, 2024 06:00 AM EDT

The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace said Russia will maintain its economic strength for another 18 months despite facing various challenges amid its war with Ukraine. 

TOPSHOT - Russian President and presidential candidate Vladimir Putin meets with the media at his campaign headquarters in Moscow on March 18, 2024.

Resilience of Russia Amid War With Ukraine

The Washington DC-based think tank highlighted Russia's resilience, noting that the economy has remained robust despite escalating military expenditures and trade restrictions imposed by Western nations. 

The International Monetary Fund even anticipated that Russia's growth this year would outpace that of all other developed economies, including the United States.

Researchers at the Carnegie Endowment pointed out that Russia has adeptly circumvented sanctions by trading oil with allies and procuring Western goods through intermediary countries.

READ NEXT: Russia Warns of More Damage and Deaths After US Approves $61 Billion Military Aid Package for Ukraine 

'Hard-Won Stability' of Russia 

However, the think tank cautioned that this stability would not last forever. Alexandra Prokopenko, a fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, emphasized that while Russia's economy appears stable right now, underlying imbalances and potential social issues could erode this stability in the next year and a half.

"A paradoxical situation has emerged: Russia's economy is now stable both in spite of and as a result of Western sanctions," Prokopenko said in a statement

"But this hard-won stability is not eternal. In a best-case scenario, the current arrangement will likely begin to come apart within eighteen months owing to growing imbalances and possible social problems," she added.

READ MORE: Russia, China Agree to Boost Economic and Security Ties to Counter US Dominance in Europe and Asia

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